Combat power & depth
Army power, remaining power, and nonlinear whale weighting represent the current roster strength.
Public alliance intelligence
Alliance Battle Predictor
Compare two known alliances using LW-Tools' own scans — no login and no third-party data source required.
8 weighted categories
85% win-chance cap
Adjustable weights
Set the matchup
Who is facing off?
Search every known alliance by tag or name. Alliances without a roster scan are marked clearly.
Ready for the matchup
Select two different alliances above. The prediction starts automatically.
Methodology
How the predictor works
Each alliance is scored in eight categories. The relative difference in every available category is weighted and converted into an estimated win chance capped at 85%. Coverage, freshness and missing categories are shown separately as model reliability.
Readiness & experience
Activity, army kills, HQ readiness, leadership, and career composition show how battle-ready the roster is.
Leadership & composition
Leadership coverage and career composition add organizational context to the raw roster values.
Important: The result is a data-driven scenario, not a guarantee. Coordination, timing, online presence, and live decisions remain decisive.
Frequently asked questions
What you should know
Why is estimated win chance capped at 85%?
Static alliance data cannot fully capture coordination, timing, or tactical decisions. The cap makes that uncertainty visible.
What does model reliability mean?
It combines shared category coverage, scan freshness and the share of active weights. It describes the quality of the estimate, not either alliance's strength.
What does “fielded” change?
It is a what-if control for expected attendance. It scales roster-based combat strength and experience, while leadership, HQ readiness and career composition stay unchanged.
Why is a category missing?
A category is used only when both alliances have enough recorded data. Coverage is shown directly below each value.
Why is an alliance marked “scan required”?
The alliance is known from the map index, but no usable roster snapshot exists yet. Run it through Alliance Scanner before using it in a prediction.
Why is there no SVIP spending category?
SVIP data is not complete or current enough in our own resources. HQ readiness provides a more transparent, scan-based signal.
Are my weights saved?
Yes, but only for this browser session. They do not change stored scans or what other users see.